From: Marshall Eubanks (no email)
Date: Fri Mar 03 2006 - 15:37:11 EST
On Mar 3, 2006, at 5:55 AM, Kurt Erik Lindqvist wrote:
>
>
> On 2 mar 2006, at 06.16, Kevin Day wrote:
>
>> No, I'm just trying to be practical here... Estimates of IPv4 pool
>> exhaustion range from Mid 2008 (Tony Hain's ARIN presentation) to
>> roughly 2012 (Geoff Huston's ARIN presentation). Sooner if a mad
>> dash for space starts happening (or isn't happening already).
>>
>> Does anyone here really believe that there is time for:
>
> So what I think we might need (that I wrote in an internet-draft
> some years ago) is the following things in exactly this order :
>
> 0. PI space with an artifically high barrier on entry yet available
> when needed (read cost+administration=LIR or equiv.).
> 1. Ducttape ala shim6
> 2. One of breakthrough in graph-theory or a completely new
> addressing/routing paradigm. Most like the latter.
>
I will bet anyone reading this $ 20 USD right now that what will
actually happen is
the development of a spot market in IPv4 address space.
Regards
Marshall
> That will take us past IPv4 exhaustion+IPv6 initial deployment,
> through wider uptake through to the 10-15 years from now when we
> might have an idea of what 2 is. I used to believe that it would
> take 10 years to deploy a standardised version of a stack change, I
> must say I changing my mind and I am starting to agree with however
> said that we just need to wait for the next <insert favourite OS>
> major security hole+patch.
>
> - kurtis -
>
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