Re: Code Red growth stats

From: k claffy (no email)
Date: Thu Aug 02 2001 - 00:37:33 EDT


On Wed, Aug 01, 2001 at 10:35:46PM -0400, Steven M. Bellovin wrote:
  
  In message <>, k claffy writes:
  
>albeit crippled caida monitor (we're working on it),
>it does seem to have reversed slope again:
>http://www.caida.org/analysis/security/code-red/aug1-live-hosts.gif
  
  Fascinating; thanks. SANS hasn't updated their plots lately, so I
  can't compare. Anyone else with any data to post? (On the other hand
  -- any chance that the dip recorded at CAIDA is due to the measurement
  problems?)

different problems; i don't think so.

graph of patch rate (we haven't plotted tonite's numbers yet)

        http://worm-security-survey.caida.org/patching.gif

suggests that the news coverage did have a slight positive
effect on patch rate

also by AS and per country as of 20:00 GMT
http://worm-security-survey.caida.org/AS_summary.txt

  
  If it has indeed turned up again, I'm at a loss to explain it. While
  I'm sure there are some IIS servers on home machines, I doubt there are
  that many. But I don't have another explanation to offer.
  
other possibilities
        -- college students going home to start up their web servers?
        -- windows servers whose MCSE's rebooted them,
           and then went home at 5, believing it fixed...
           but just getting reinfected? (-sfd suggestion)

we could do the AS_summary for hosts infected _after_
the increase re-started, and see if it's strongly
disproportionate to hosts behind certain type of providers

haven't done yet








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